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An age-of-infection model with both symptomatic and asymptomatic infections

机译:同时具有有症状和无症状感染的感染年龄模型

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摘要

We formulate a general age-of-infection epidemic model with two pathways: the symptomatic infections and the asymptomatic infections. We then calculate the basic reproduction number R-0 and establish the final size relation. It is shown that the ratio of accumulated counts of symptomatic patients and asymptomatic patients is determined by the symptomatic ratio f which is defined as the probability of eventually becoming symptomatic after being infected. We also formulate and study a general age-of-infection model with disease deaths and with two infection pathways. The final size relation is investigated, and the upper and lower bounds for final epidemic size are given. Several numerical simulations are performed to verify the analytical results.
机译:我们制定了一个一般的感染年龄流行模型,有两种途径:有症状感染者和无症状感染者。然后,我们计算基本复制数 R-0 并建立最终尺寸关系。结果表明,有症状患者和无症状患者的累积计数比值由有症状比值f决定,该比值定义为感染后最终出现症状的概率。我们还制定并研究了具有疾病死亡和两种感染途径的一般感染年龄模型。研究了最终的规模关系,并给出了最终流行规模的上限和下限。进行了多次数值模拟以验证分析结果。

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