To address the difficulty of estimating the drift of the navigation marks, a fractional-order gradient with the momentum RBF neural network (FOGDM-RBF) is designed. The convergence is proved, and it is used to estimate the drifting trajectory of the navigation marks with different geographical locations. First, the weight of the neural network is set. The navigation mark's meteorological, hydrological, and initial position data are taken as the input of the neural network. The neural network is trained and used to estimate the mark's position. The navigation mark's position is taken at a later time as the output of the neural network. The difference between the later position and the estimated position obtained from the neural network is the error function of the neural network. The influence of sea conditions and months are analyzed. The experimental results and error analysis show that FOGDM-RBF is better than other algorithms at trajectory estimation and interpolation, has better accuracy and generalization, and does not easily fall into the local optimum. It is effective at accelerating convergence speed and improving the performance of a gradient descent method.
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