Spatial and temporal characteristics of the daily precipitation concentration index over China from 1979 to 2015

摘要

Irregular precipitation has a nontrivial influence on hydrological processes and regional agriculture. The precipitation concentration index provides convenient quantitative characterizations of precipitation variability. To explore the spatial and temporal distribution of the precipitation concentration index,the long-term concentration index (LCI) and the annual concentration index (ACI) during 1979–2015 were calculated based on the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset. The results are as follows: (1) The LCI in China ranged from 0.4571 to 0.9197,and the values between 0.6 and 0.7 accounted for 61.61% of the dataset. The highest and lowest LCI values were both recorded in Northwest China,which features low precipitation levels. Additionally,there are high LCI values (greater than 0.6) in Southeast China,which features high precipitation levels. (2) Application of the Mann-Kendall test (M-K test) and Sen's slope revealed that more than 88% of the grids exhibited nonsignificant positive or negative ACI trends and that more than 10% of the grid ACI values exhibited positive trends,with approximately 2.8% showing significant changes at the 0.1 significance level. (3) Application of the Pettitt test revealed that approximately 11.9% of the grid ACI values exhibited an abrupt change at the 0.5 significance level,with abrupt changes occurring in 1991,1992 and 1993,together accounting for 45.89% of all grids with abrupt changes.