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A Storyline Approach to the June 2021 Northwestern North American Heatwave

机译:2021 年 6 月北美西北部热浪的故事情节

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Abstract Northwestern North America has experienced an exceptional heatwave in late June 2021 with many new temperature records across western Canada, Oregon and Washington states. Here we use a recent atmospheric reanalysis and a conditional approach based on dynamical adjustment to assess and quantify the influence of atmospheric circulation and other driving factors to the heatwave magnitude during the June 28–30 period. A blocking anticyclone, enhanced low‐level moisture and clear‐sky downward long‐wave radiation are shown to be the main factors of the heatwave persistence and magnitude. The heatwave magnitude is mainly attributable to internal variability with climate change being an additional factor (10). Consequences of a similar atmospheric circulation anomaly in different phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillations and in a warmer world at different global warming levels (1, 2, 3, and 4°C) are explored based on a single model initial‐condition large ensemble.
机译:摘要 北美西北部在2021年6月下旬经历了一场异常的热浪,加拿大西部、俄勒冈州和华盛顿州出现了许多新的温度记录。在这里,我们使用最近的大气再分析和基于动态调整的条件方法来评估和量化 6 月 28 日至 30 日期间大气环流和其他驱动因素对热浪幅度的影响。阻挡反气旋、增强的低层水汽和晴朗的天空向下长波辐射是热浪持续性和强度的主要因素。热浪的震级主要归因于内部变化,气候变化是一个额外的因素(10%)。基于单一模型初始条件大集合,探讨了太平洋年代际振荡不同阶段和不同全球变暖水平(1、2、3和4°C)下较暖世界的类似大气环流异常的后果。

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