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Adult male birds advance spring migratory phenology faster than females and juveniles across North America

机译:在北美,成年雄鸟比雌鸟和幼鸟更快地推进春季迁徙物候

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Abstract Advances in spring migratory phenology comprise some of the most well‐documented evidence for the impacts of climate change on birds. Nevertheless, surprisingly little research has investigated whether birds are shifting their migratory phenology equally across sex and age classes—a question critical to understanding the potential for trophic mismatch. We used 60 years of bird banding data across North America—comprising over 4 million captures in total—to investigate both spring and fall migratory phenology for a total of 98 bird species across sex and age classes, with the exact numbers of species for each analysis depending on season‐specific data availability. Consistent with protandry, in spring (n = 89 species), adult males were the first to arrive and immature females were the last to arrive. In fall (n = 98), there was little difference between sexes, but adults tended to depart earlier than juveniles. Over 60 years, adult males advanced their phenology the fastest (−0.84 days per decade, 95 CrI = −1.22 to −0.47, n = 36), while adult and immature females advanced at a slower pace, causing the gap in male and female arrival times to widen over time. In the fall, there was no overall trend in phenology by age or sex (n = 57), driven in part by high interspecific variation related to breeding and molt strategies. Our results indicate consistent and predictable age‐ and sex‐based differences in the rates at which species' springtime phenology is shifting. The growing gap between male and female migratory arrival indicates sex‐based plasticity in adaptation to climate change that has strong potential to negatively impact current and future population trends.
机译:摘要 春季迁徙物候学的进展为气候变化对鸟类的影响提供了一些最有据可查的证据。然而,令人惊讶的是,很少有研究调查鸟类是否在性别和年龄类别之间平等地改变它们的迁徙物候——这个问题对于理解营养错配的可能性至关重要。我们使用了北美 60 年的鸟类带数据(总共捕获了超过 400 万次),以调查春季和秋季迁徙物候,共计 98 种不同性别和年龄组的鸟类,每次分析的确切物种数量取决于特定季节的数据可用性。与protandry一致,在春季(n = 89种),成年雄性最先到达,未成熟的雌性最先到达。在秋季(n = 98),两性之间几乎没有差异,但成虫往往比幼虫更早离开。在60年中,成年雄性物候学进展最快(每十年-0.84天,95 CrI = -1.22至-0.47,n = 36),而成年和未成熟的雌性则以较慢的速度发展,导致雄性和雌性到达时间的差距随着时间的推移而扩大。在秋季,按年龄或性别划分的物候学没有总体趋势(n = 57),部分原因是与育种和蜕皮策略相关的高种间变异。我们的研究结果表明,物种春季物候变化的速度存在一致且可预测的基于年龄和性别的差异。男性和女性迁徙者之间的差距越来越大,这表明在适应气候变化方面存在基于性别的可塑性,这很有可能对当前和未来的人口趋势产生负面影响。

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