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Extracting Hale Cycle Related Components from Cosmic-Ray Data Using Principal Component Analysis

机译:使用主成分分析从宇宙射线数据中提取黑尔循环相关成分

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摘要

Abstract We decompose the monthly cosmic-ray data, using several neutron-monitor count rates, of Cycles 19 – 24 with principal component analysis (PCA). Using different cycle limits, we show that the first and second PC of cosmic-ray (CR) data explain 77 – 79 and 13 – 15 of the total variation of the Oulu CR Cycles 20 – 24 (C20 – C24), 73 – 77 and 13 – 17 of the variation of Hermanus C20 – C24, and 74 – 78 and 17 – 21 of the Climax C19 – C22, respectively. The PC1 time series of the CR Cycles 19 – 24 has only one peak in its power spectrum at the period 10.95 years, which is the average solar-cycle period for SC19 – SC24. The PC2 time series of the same cycles has a clear peak at period 21.90 (Hale cycle) and another peak at one third of that period with no peak at the solar-cycle period. We show that the PC2 of the CR is essential in explaining the differences in the intensities of the even and odd cycles of the CR. The odd cycles have a positive phase in the first half and a negative phase in the second half of their PC2. This leads to a slow decrease in intensity at the beginning of the cycle and a flat minimum for the odd cycles. On the contrary, for the even cycles the phases are reversed, and this leads to faster decrease and more rapid recovery of the CR intensity of the cycle. As a consequence, the even cycles have a more peak-like structure. These results are confirmed with skewness–kurtosis (S–K) analysis. Furthermore, S–K shows that other even and odd cycles, except Cycle 21, are on the regression line with a correlation coefficient 0.85. The Cycles 21 of all eight stations are compactly located in the S–K coordinate system and have smaller skewnesses and higher kurtoses than the odd Cycles 23.
机译:摘要 利用主成分分析(PCA)对第19—24个周期的月度宇宙射线数据进行分解。使用不同的周期限制,我们表明宇宙射线 (CR) 数据的第一和第二 PC 解释了奥卢 CR 周期 20 – 24 (C20 – C24) 总变化的 77 – 79% 和 13 – 15%,赫曼努斯 C20 – C24 变化的 73 – 77% 和 13 – 17% – 17% 高潮 C19 – C22, 分别。CR周期19-24的PC1时间序列在其功率谱中只有一个峰值,周期为10.95年,这是SC19-SC24的平均太阳周期。相同周期的PC2时间序列在周期21.90(Hale周期)处有一个明显的峰值,在该周期的三分之一处有另一个峰值,在太阳周期周期没有峰值。我们表明,CR 的 PC2 对于解释 CR 的偶数周期和奇数周期的强度差异至关重要。奇数周期在其 PC2 的前半部分具有正相,在后半部分具有负相。这导致周期开始时强度缓慢下降,奇数周期的最小值持平。相反,对于偶数循环,相位是相反的,这导致循环的CR强度更快地降低和更快地恢复。因此,偶数周期具有更像峰值的结构。这些结果通过偏度-峰度 (S-K) 分析得到证实。此外,S-K 显示除周期 21 外,其他偶数和奇数循环都位于回归线上,相关系数为 0.85。所有八个站点中的循环 21 紧凑地位于 S-K 坐标系中,并且比奇数循环 23 具有更小的偏度和更高的峰度。

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