Methodology for dynamic reliability assessment of team situation awareness of digital nuclear power plants

摘要

Team situation awareness (TSA) reliability is an important factor for team reliability. Moreover, situation awareness (SA) is a prominent problem in digital nuclear power plants (NPPs). Currently, since there is no suitable method to dynamically assess TSA reliability, we constructed a dynamical assessment method of TSA reliability based on a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) to evaluate TSA reliability. First of all, a TSA causal concept model through qualitative analysis, expert group discussion and sample data analysis. On this basis, the quantitative assessment method of TSA reliability was constructed based on DBN and obtained probability distribution of variables. A standardized method was established to obtain the probability distribution of variables. Furthermore, we evaluated TSA dynamic reliability in a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR) accident. The results showed that the error probability of TSA decreased, and the level of TSA reliability continuously increased in SGTR. TSA reliability can be dynamically predicted by causal reasoning, the most important cause of TSA error could be identified by diagnostic reasoning, which provided theoretical support for the targeted prevention of human error. Finally, this established method was proved to be reasonable through sensitivity analysis.