Stochastic Project Scheduling Optimization for Multi-stage Prefabricated Building Construction with Reliability Application

摘要

This study investigates a project scheduling problem of prefabricated building (PB) construction in an uncertain environment. Different from the traditional scheduling models in PB construction, we consider a complex multi-stage cooperation system including the production, transportation and assembly (PTA) phases. In this system, both activity durations and resource amounts are stochastic variables. By applying the reliability theory to the stochastic scheduling model innovatively, we formulate a duration reliability model to maximize the probability of non-delayed project completion, within the resource constraints. As the proposed model is a non-deterministic polynomial hard (NP-hard) problem, a hybrid meta-heuristic differential evolution particle swarm optimization (DEPSO) algorithm is developed, which is utilized the mutation factor of the differential evolution (DE) algorithm in the framework of the particle swarm optimization (PSO). Finally, a real-life example of a PB construction project is used to explore the performance of the proposed DEPSO algorithm. The result shows that the hybrid algorithm DEPSO can better find the global optimal solution in the multi-dimensional optimization problem.