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Study of the Influencing Factors on Development of Ports in Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao from the Perspective of Spatial Economics

机译:空间经济学视角下粤港澳三地港口发展的影响因素研究

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摘要

Under the background of "one belt, one road initiative" and the "Outline Development Plan for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area," Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao port group development is facing new opportunities. The port group has a large throughput, covering the hinterland with dense population and high economic density, excellent transportation infrastructure, and broad consumption market. However, the port group internal competition is fierce, and the development level is different in space. Based on this, this paper uses the HHI index and spatial economics as research method and aims to study the spatial evolution characteristics and influencing factors of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao port group. Firstly, the HHI index is used to describe the aggregation status. Secondly, the development level index according to port throughput and container throughput is constructed. The spatial development and evolution process of the port group of Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao is analyzed by combining with spatial econometrics and economic geography. In summary, the influencing factor "diamond model" is constructed and took empirical research to verify its rationality and scientificity. The empirical results show a strong spatial correlation between the development of the Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macao port group. The government intervention and the development of port industry have a negative correlation, and this impact will be weakened over time. There is a negative relationship between the level of marketization and the development of the port industry. There is a multiple and complex relationship between the port auxiliary industry and the development of the port industry, and it shows the short-term influence is smaller than the long-term impact. The level of port transportation infrastructure, the port industry competition, and the economic openness have significant and positive effects on the development of the port group.
机译:在“一带一路”倡议和《粤港澳大湾区发展规划纲要》的背景下,粤港澳港口群发展面临新机遇。港口群吞吐量大,覆盖人口稠密、经济密度高的腹地,交通基础设施优良,消费市场广阔。但港口集团内部竞争激烈,发展水平在空间上存在差异。基于此,本文以HHI指数和空间经济学为研究方法,旨在研究粤港澳港口群的空间演变特征及其影响因素。首先,使用HHI指数描述聚合状态;其次,构建了港口吞吐量和集装箱吞吐量的发展水平指标;结合空间计量和经济地理学,分析了粤港澳三港群的空间发展演化过程。综上所述,构建了“钻石模型”的影响因素,并通过实证研究验证了其合理性和科学性。实证结果表明,粤港澳三地港口群发展具有较强的空间相关性。政府干预与港口产业发展呈负相关关系,且这种影响会随着时间推移而减弱。市场化水平与港口产业发展呈负相关关系。港口辅助产业与港口产业发展之间存在着多重而复杂的关系,表现为短期影响小于长期影响。港通基础设施水平、港口产业竞争、经济开放程度对港口集团发展具有显著的积极影响。

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