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Towards Linking the Sustainable Development Goals and a Novel-Proposed Snow Avalanche Susceptibility Mapping

机译:将可持续发展目标与新提出的雪崩易感性图联系起来

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Abstract In this study, the relationship between the sustainable development goals (SDGs) and snow avalanche susceptibility has been analyzed for the first time. Snow avalanche susceptibility of Uzung?l basin, which is a specially-protected area in Trabzon, Türkiye, was generated by a novel proposal of ensemble modeling of hesitant fuzzy sets and decision tree-based Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. The uncertainty effect of the snow avalanche conditioning factors was expressed regarding the Bel values at each class on snow avalanche susceptibility. Hesitant fuzzy ordered weighted averaging operator was used for aggregation of the ML classification of snow avalanche conditioning factors. The predicted avalanche susceptibility maps were validated by a receiver-operating-characteristics curve method and the areal-percentages of avalanche classes, and avalanche percentages at the classes. Area under curve and true skill statistics values for HFS-J48, HFS-RT and HFS-REPTree for the training process were calculated as 0.985, 0.966, 1.000, 0.989, 0.969, and 0.943, respectively. These values for testing process were calculated as 0.975, 0.947, 0.917, 0.840, 0.955, and 0.920, respectively. Although HFS-RT predicted the best for the training process, the HFS-J48 model was found to be performing the best predictions of snow avalanche susceptibility regarding the testing process and predicted classified areal and avalanche percentages. The findings of this study may contribute to further understanding achievement of many goals regarding environmental, ecological, and spatial, and landscape planning. The results of this study may be considered to achieve the goals of some SDGs such as tourism planning, developing economic activities, providing sustainable transportation, and land use control.
机译:摘要 本研究首次分析了可持续发展目标(SDGs)与雪崩易发性的关系。土耳其特拉布宗特别保护区乌宗盆地的雪崩易感性是由犹豫模糊集的集成建模和基于决策树的机器学习(ML)算法的新提议产生的。各类Bel值对雪崩易发性的不确定性影响表现为雪崩调节因子的不确定性效应。采用犹豫模糊有序加权平均算子对雪崩调节因子的ML分类进行聚合。采用接收机操作特性曲线法、雪崩等级面积百分比和各等级雪崩百分比,对预测的雪崩易化率图进行了验证。HFS-J48、HFS-RT和HFS-REPTree的曲线下面积和真实技能统计值分别为0.985、0.966、1.000、0.989、0.969和0.943。测试过程的计算值分别为0.975、0.947、0.917、0.840、0.955和0.920。尽管HFS-RT对训练过程的预测最好,但HFS-J48模型被发现对测试过程的雪崩敏感性进行了最佳预测,并预测了分类的区域和雪崩百分比。本研究的结果可能有助于进一步理解有关环境、生态、空间和景观规划的许多目标的实现。本研究的结果可以被认为可以实现一些可持续发展目标的目标,例如旅游规划、发展经济活动、提供可持续交通和土地使用控制。

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