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Construction of 3D drought structures of meteorological drought events and their spatio-temporal evolution characteristics

机译:气象干旱事件三维干旱结构构建及其时空演化特征

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Drought events often exhibit distinct spatio-temporal heterogeneity and coupling properties at different spatiotemporal scales. In previous studies, the spatial and temporal evolution of drought events were considered in a separate manner, and some mild drought events were likely to be missed in the identification process. This paper proposed a new drought structure extraction method for extracting all drought events from long time series data and constructing the 3D drought structure, and analyzed their spatio-temporal distribution patterns and characteristics under the interweaving of spatial and temporal dimensions. The 3D threshold isosurface was plotted to cluster temporally and spatially interconnected grid points, so that a 3D drought structure was formed to represent a drought event and describe the spatio-temporal distribution pattern in long time series and the spatial-temporal variability in the development process. On this basis, the geometric and physical characteristics inside and outside the drought structure were analyzed using seven characteristic indicators, such as drought duration, drought area, drought mass, drought volume, drought density, drought aggregation index, and longitude and latitude coordinates of drought centroid. The meteorological drought events in the Huai River basin for the period 1961-2015 were identified and their spatio-temporal distribution pattern and variation were characterized. Finally, Pearson correlation analysis, M-K trend analysis and wavelet analysis were performed to quantify the evolution of drought events. The results show that (1) the drought structure extraction method can reflect the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and the development trend of multiple drought events according to the outer contour, the internal color and the migration of the location of the drought structure; (2) the drought area in the Huai River basin shows a decreasing trend, but the severity shows an increasing trend due to the i
机译:干旱事件在不同时空尺度上往往表现出明显的时空异质性和耦合特性。在以往的研究中,干旱事件的时空演变是单独考虑的,在识别过程中可能会遗漏一些轻度干旱事件。提出了一种新的干旱结构提取方法,用于从长时间序列数据中提取所有干旱事件并构建三维干旱结构,并分析了其时空维度交织下的时空分布格局和特征。绘制三维阈值等值面,对时空互连的网格点进行聚类,形成三维干旱结构,表示干旱事件,描述长时序的时空分布格局和发育过程中的时空变异性。在此基础上,利用干旱持续时间、干旱面积、干旱质量、干旱量、干旱密度、干旱聚集指数、干旱质心经纬度坐标等7个特征指标,分析了干旱结构内外的几何物理特征。识别了1961—2015年淮河流域气象干旱事件,表征了其时空分布格局和变化特征。最后,采用Pearson相关分析、M-K趋势分析和小波分析,量化干旱事件的演变过程。结果表明:(1)干旱结构提取方法根据干旱结构位置的外轮廓、内色和迁移,能够反映多重干旱事件的时空演化特征和发展趋势;(2)淮河流域干旱面积呈减少趋势,但严重性呈增加趋势,主要原因是干旱面积呈上升趋势。

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