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A MCP‐Mod approach to designing and analyzing survival trials with potential non‐proportional hazards

机译:MCP-Mod 方法,用于设计和分析具有潜在非比例风险的生存试验

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Abstract Non‐proportional hazards have been observed in many studies especially in immuno‐oncology clinical trials. Traditional analysis using the combined approach with log‐rank test as the significance test and Cox model for treatment effect estimation becomes questionable as this approach relies heavily on the proportional hazards assumption. Inspired by the MCP‐Mod (multiple comparisons and modeling approach) that has been widely used in dose‐finding studies, we propose a similar approach to handle non‐proportional hazards. Using this approach, efficacy signal is first established by a max‐combo test, after which hazard ratios across time will be estimated using a logically nested splines model. Simulations studies and real‐data examples are used to illustrate the use of this approach.
机译:摘要 在许多研究中观察到非比例危害,特别是在免疫肿瘤学临床试验中。使用对数秩检验作为显著性检验和Cox模型进行治疗效果估计的组合方法的传统分析变得值得怀疑,因为这种方法在很大程度上依赖于比例风险假设。受剂量探索研究中广泛使用的MCP-Mod(多重比较和建模方法)的启发,我们提出了一种类似的方法来处理非比例危害。使用这种方法,首先通过最大组合检验建立功效信号,然后使用逻辑嵌套样条模型估计随时间变化的风险比。仿真研究和实际数据示例用于说明该方法的使用。

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