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The incidence, prevalence, and survival analysis of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors in the United States

机译:美国胰腺神经内分泌肿瘤的发病率、患病率和生存率分析

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Abstract Purpose The incidence of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNETs) was increasing. The main purpose of this study was to statistically analyze the incidence and prevalence of pNETs and the main risk factors for the prognosis.Methods Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, with three registries integrated, this study comprehensively displayed the annual age adjust incidence of pNETs from 1975 to 2018, the estimated 20-year limited-duration prevalence, and conducted the univariate and multivariate survival analysis.Results The incidence of pNETs has increased to about 1.5 per 100,000 population, and the prevalence has reached about 0.008 with the aged, Grade 1 and nonfunctional tumors accounting for the majority. The average median overall survival (OS), 5-year survival rate, and median disease-free survival (DFS) of pNETs patients from 1975 to 2018 were 85?months, 57.55, and 220?months, respectively. From 2000 to 2018, the median OS was 94?months, and the 5-year survival rate was 59.94. In multivariate survival analysis, the greatest risk factor was Grade 34 with HR?=?3.62 (3.10–4.28), followed by distant stage with HR?=?2.77 (2.28–3.36), and aged over 80?years old with HR?=?2.26 (1.33–3.83). Surgery was a protective prognostic factor with HR?=?0.34 (0.29–0.40).Conclusion The incidence and prevalence of pNETs were still increasing, but the trend was gradual and aging in recent years. The survival time of pNETs was longer but has not changed much in recent years. The degrees of malignancy, stage, and operation were the most important prognosis factors.
机译:摘要 目的 胰腺神经内分泌肿瘤(pNETs)的发病率呈上升趋势。本研究的主要目的是统计分析pNETs的发生率和患病率以及预后的主要危险因素。方法 基于监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库,整合3个登记库,全面展示1975—2018年pNETs的年年龄调整发病率、估计的20年有限期患病率,并进行单因素和多因素生存分析。结果 pNETs发病率增至约1.5/10万人,患病率达到0.008%左右,以老年、1级和无功能肿瘤为主。1975—2018年pNETs患者的平均中位总生存期(OS)、5年生存率和中位无病生存期(DFS)分别为85个月、57.55%和220个月。2000—2018年中位OS为94?个月,5年生存率为59.94%。在多因素生存分析中,最大的危险因素是3级和4级,HR?=?3.62(3.10-4.28),其次是远处期,HR?=?2.77(2.28-3.36),80岁以上HR?=?2.26(1.33-3.83)。手术是保护性预后因素,HR?=?0.34 (0.29–0.40)。结论 近年来pNETs的发病率和患病率仍在上升,但呈渐进和老龄化趋势。pNETs的存活时间较长,但近年来变化不大。恶性程度、分期和手术是最重要的预后因素。

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