We've long maintained that weather poses the greatest risk on any given day to a proficient pilot flying a well-maintained aircraft. Presuming there's adequate fuel aboard and the pilot knows how to ensure that it gets to the engine(s), it's more likely than not that the flight will be completed pretty much as planned. Everything falls apart, however, when we fail to consider and/or appreciate how poor weather conditions-including low clouds and visibility, or the turbulence associated with convective activity-can and will disrupt our plans. These days, it's child's play to have multiple displays filled with information telling us not to be in a certain area. But without a sober assessment of the conditions relative to our situation and capa- bilities, the adverse weather we encounter is likely to win any contest of wills every time. It's especially disappointing that pilots of airplanes equipped with the latest technology regularly seem to put their faith in the equipment they carry rather than a realistic assessment of their training, skill and competence. And we would argue that a pilot lacking an instrument rating is at a severe disadvantage when considering cross-country flights during which a variety of weather can be encountered. This month's Accident Probe provides yet another example of what can and will happen if we let it.
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