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Optimal scaling of random walk Metropolis algorithms using Bayesian large-sample asymptotics

机译:基于贝叶斯大样本渐近的随机游走 Metropolis 算法的优化缩放

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摘要

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are, however, restrictive: the target density is typically assumed to be of a product form. Users may thus doubt the validity of such tuning rules in practical applications. In this paper, we shed some light on optimal scaling problems from a different perspective, namely a large-sample one. This allows to prove weak convergence results under realistic assumptions and to propose novel parameter-dimension-dependent tuning guidelines. The proposed guidelines are consistent with the previous ones when the target density is close to having a product form, and the results highlight that the correlation structure has to be accounted for to avoid performance deterioration if that is not the case, while justifying the use of a natural (asymptotically exact) approximation to the correlation matrix that can be employed for the very first algorithm run.
机译:高维极限定理已被证明可用于推导在随机游走 Metropolis 算法中找到最佳缩放的调优规则。然而,证明弱收敛结果的假设是有限制的:目标密度通常被假定为产品形式。因此,用户可能会怀疑这种调优规则在实际应用中的有效性。在本文中,我们从不同的角度(即大样本问题)阐明了最优缩放问题。这允许在现实假设下证明弱收敛结果,并提出新的参数维度相关调整指南。当目标密度接近于产品形式时,所提出的准则与以前的准则一致,结果强调,如果不是这种情况,则必须考虑相关结构以避免性能下降,同时证明使用自然(渐近精确)近似于可用于第一次算法运行的相关矩阵是合理的。

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