Levy Board, AHDB looked at the impact of the UK-New Zealand trade deal for lamb. It was examined looking at the changes expected after the deal comes into force. This aspect of the modelling work assumes all other circumstances remain the same. AHDB also looked at the potential impact if, in the future, China banned imports of lamb from China. Key points for lamb sector:The model suggests that New Zealand lamb exports to the UK will increase by around 5,800 tonnes which equates to an increase 14% inpercentage terms on the baseline used within the model Total UK imports are expected to increase about 8% or 4,800 tonnes, with the increase from New Zealand partially offset by reduced imports from the El/ Results show that changes to production and price are relatively small, but it is clear the impacts are negative from a farmer’s perspective in the UK, whereas they benefit New Zealand farmers.
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