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The Effect of Age on Mortality in Patients With COVID-19: A Meta-Analysis With 611,583 Subjects

机译:年龄对 COVID-19 患者死亡率的影响:一项涉及 611,583 名受试者的荟萃分析

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Objectives: Initial data on COVID-19 infection has pointed out a special vulnerability of older adults. Design: We performed a meta-analysis with available national reports on May 7, 2020 from China, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, and New York State. Analyses were performed by a random effects model, and sensitivity analyses were performed for the identification of potential sources of heterogeneity. Setting and participants: COVID-19epositive patients reported in literature and national reports. Measures: All-cause mortality by age. Results: A total of 611,1583 subjects were analyzed and 141,745 (23.2) were aged >= 80 years. The percentage of octogenarians was different in the 5 registries, the lowest being in China (3.2) and the highest in the United Kingdom and New York State. The overall mortality rate was 12.10 and it varied widely between countries, the lowest being in China (3.1) and the highest in the United Kingdom (20.8) and New York State (20.99). Mortality was = 80 years. All age groups had significantly higher mortality compared with the immediately younger age group. The largest increase in mortality risk was observed in patients aged 60 to 69 years compared with those aged 50 to 59 years (odds ratio 3.13, 95 confidence interval 2.61-3.76). Conclusions and Implications: This meta-analysis with more than half million of COVID-19 patients from different countries highlights the determinant effect of age on mortality with the relevant thresholds on age >50 years and, especially, >60 years. Older adult patients should be prioritized in the implementation of preventive measures. (C) 2020 AMDA - The Society for Post-Acute and Long-Term Care Medicine.
机译:研究目的:关于COVID-19感染的初步数据指出了老年人的特殊脆弱性。设计:我们于2020年5月7日对中国、意大利、西班牙、英国和纽约州的国家报告进行了meta分析。通过随机效应模型进行分析,并进行敏感性分析以识别潜在的异质性来源。环境和参与者:文献和国家报告中报告的 COVID-19 阳性患者。措施:按年龄划分的全因死亡率。结果:共分析了611,1583名受试者,其中141,745名(23.2%)的年龄为>=80岁。在5个登记处中,八旬老人的比例各不相同,中国最低(3.2%),英国和纽约州最高。总体死亡率为12.10%,各国之间差异很大,最低的是中国(3.1%),最高是英国(20.8%)和纽约州(20.99%)。 = 80 岁的患者中观察到最高的死亡率。与年龄较小的年龄组相比,所有年龄组的死亡率都显著更高。与 50-59 岁患者相比,60-69 岁患者的死亡风险增幅最大(比值比 3.13,95% 置信区间 2.61-3.76)。结论和意义:这项针对来自不同国家的五十多万 COVID-19 患者的荟萃分析强调了年龄对死亡率的决定性影响,相关阈值对年龄 >50 岁,尤其是 >60 岁。在实施预防措施时,应优先考虑老年患者。(c) 2020 AMDA - 急性后和长期护理医学学会。

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