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A Financial Distress Prediction Model Based on Sparse Algorithm and Support Vector Machine

机译:基于稀疏算法和支持向量机的金融困境预测模型

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摘要

Classification learning is a very important issue in machine learning, which has been widely used in the field of financial distress warning. Some researches show that the prediction model framework based on sparse algorithm has better performance than the traditional model. In this paper, we explore the financial distress prediction based on grouping sparsity. Feature selection of sparse algorithm plays an important role in classification learning, because many redundant and irrelevant features will degrade performance. A good feature selection algorithm would reduce computational complexity and improve classification accuracy. In this study, we propose an algorithm for feature selection classification prediction based on feature attributes and data source grouping. The existing financial distress prediction model usually only uses the data from financial statement and ignores the timeliness of company sample in practice. Therefore, we propose a corporate financial distress prediction model that is better in line with the practice and combines the grouping sparse principal component analysis of financial data, corporate governance characteristics, and market transaction data with support vector machine. Experimental results show that this method can improve the prediction efficiency of financial distress with fewer characteristic variables.
机译:分类学习是机器学习中非常重要的问题,在金融困境预警领域得到了广泛的应用。一些研究表明,基于稀疏算法的预测模型框架比传统模型具有更好的性能。本文探讨了基于分组稀疏性的财务困境预测。稀疏算法的特征选择在分类学习中起着重要作用,因为许多冗余和不相关的特征会降低性能。一个好的特征选择算法可以降低计算复杂度,提高分类精度。本文提出了一种基于特征属性和数据源分组的特征选择分类预测算法。现有的财务困境预测模型在实践中通常仅使用财务报表中的数据,而忽略了公司样本的及时性。因此,本文提出了一种更符合实践的企业财务困境预测模型,并将财务数据、公司治理特征和市场交易数据的分组稀疏主成分分析与支持向量机相结合。实验结果表明,该方法能够以较少的特征变量提高财务困境的预测效率。

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