Dynamic Credit Evaluation Method for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises Based on Grey Cloud Similarity Analysis

摘要

The solution of financing demand is one of the driving forces for the growth of small and medium-sized enterprises, and scientific and reasonable credit evaluation is an important way to alleviate the difficulty and expensive financing of enterprises. To address the uncertainty in enterprise credit evaluation, a dynamic evaluation method based on grey cloud similarity is proposed by combining grey incidence analysis and cloud model theory. Firstly, combining the expectation, entropy, and hyper entropy of the cloud model, the grey cloud similarity based on the inner or outer boundary curve is defined by drawing on the concept of the degree of grey incidence and the feature of the grey cloud similarity that can take the three digital characteristics of the cloud model into account, low computational complexity and high stability are summarized. Then, a multi-attribute comprehensive evaluation method is established considering randomness, fuzziness, and dynamic, and the dynamic evaluation information is aggregated by time-series weights to assess the rating of the evaluated object over a period of time. Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified by the credit rating evaluation case of 10 small and medium-sized listed enterprises in the Growth Enterprise Market of Shenzhen Stock Exchange.