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Climate-Related Hazards and Internal Migration Empirical Evidence for Rural Vietnam

机译:与气候有关的灾害和内部迁移经验证据对农村越南

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摘要

In this paper we employ commune-level data from Vietnam to study whether three types of natural disasters have an impact on emigration figures. We thereby distinguish between temporary and permanent emigration and also differentiate between the effects of recently occurring disaster events and changes in medium-term disaster trends. We find that episodic droughts and flood events tend to cause emigration from the affected communes. While droughts primarily cause temporary migration, flood events tendto induce permanent moves out of the affected regions. Whenever drought or flood events are perceived to have become more severe over the last decade, we also find systematically higher emigration from the affected communes. Episodic typhoons or worsening typhoon trends remain without any significant effect in both the short- and the long-run.
机译:在本文中,我们采用commune-level数据越南研究三种类型的是否自然灾害对移民有影响的人物。我们从而区分临时和永久移民,也区分在最近发生的影响灾难事件和中期的变化灾难的趋势。和洪水事件往往会导致移民受影响的社区。往往导致临时性移民,洪水事件诱导永久移动的影响地区。认为已经变得更加严重了过去十年中,我们还发现系统高移民从受影响的社区。台风台风或恶化的趋势依然存在在短期没有任何显著的影响和长期。

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