The study between shadow banking and financial fragility in China: an empirical analysis based on the co-integration test and error correction model

摘要

The rapid development of shadow banking manifesting systematic risk has attracted increasing attention recently, but there exists a lack of empirical research in this field. This article applies co-integration analysis and error correction model using annual data during the 2001-2010 period to test the short-term fluctuation and long-term equilibrium between expansion velocity of shadow banking and financial fragility, and puts forward corresponding policy recommendations.