Trends in Labor Productivity and Investment: Empirical Observations

摘要

Issues are discussed related to Russia's political and economic objective to become one of the five major economies of the world. It is shown that the continuation of the existing trends in GDP should permit Russia to rise in the coming years from the sixth position to the fifth among the world nations in terms of GDP yet remain in this position only until the end of the 2020s. The authors believe that in the forecast period until 2024, an average annual growth rate of 3% in labor productivity is quite likely. This growth rate suggests better structural ratios for investment and productivity trends and a slightly higher rate of accumulation than at the beginning of the forecast period.