Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting overall survival of gastric cancer patients after D2R0 resection

摘要

Objective: The aim of the study was to find factors associated with overall survival (OS) and establish a nomogram predicting OS of patients with gastric cancer (GC) after D2R0 resection.Methods: Demographic and clinicopathologic factors of patients with GC underwent D2R0 surgical resection were retrospectively collected from medical records, telephone interview or outpatient follow-up. To find factors significantly associated with OS, univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted. The concordance index (C-index) was used to measure the accuracy of the nomogram. Discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were tested using the patients in the validation set. Results: Overall, patients with 890 GC underwent D2R0 surgical resection were included. Based on the results of univariate analysis and multivariate analysis, T stage, number of metastatic local lymph nodes, lymph node positive rate, adjuvant chemotherapy and diameter of tumour were used to construct a nomogram predicting OS of patients with GC after surgical resection. In the validation cohort, the C-index was 0.73 and the nomogram performed well in predicting OS.Conclusion: The nomogram was able to accurately predict OS of patients with GC underwent curative surgery and performed well in internal validation, which would also be useful for the decision-making of doctors.