Contribution of Solar Radiation to the Long-Term Dynamics of Hydro-Ecological Parameters of Lake Ecosystems under Variable Nutrient Loading: Case Study on Naroch Lakes

摘要

Results of the continuous monitoring of the Naroch lake system, which includes eutrophic Lake Batorino, mesotrophic Lake Myastro, and oligomesotrophic Lake Naroch, have been used to study the factors that largely affect the long-term dynamics of the lakes ecosystem under variable nutrient loading. A set of continuous series of average seasonal values of eight parameters from each ecosystem over 1978-2015 is analyzed using the SSA and PCA methods. The second principal component (F2), which contributes 15.3, 20.5, and 22.1% to the dynamics of the ecosystems of lakes Myastro, Batorino, and Naroch, respectively, is associated with three parameters that reflect the processes of formation and decomposition of the organic matter. A comparison of the periods of the dominant cyclical components of principal component F2 and related ecosystem parameters allows us to interpret the second main factor behind these components as activity from solar radiation.