Platts analytics lowers Us thermal coal exports forecast to 44 million mt in 2019

摘要

US thermal coal exports are expected to total 44 million mt in 2019, down 10 million mt from 2018, with another drop of 8.6 million mt in 2020 given uncompetitive US coal, according to S&P Global Platts Analytics. US exports continue to slow this year, Platts Analytics said in a report, “with 1H19 US thermal exports falling 4.3 million mt y-o-y and preliminary vessel tracking data showing that they likely came in lower in July as well.” March-June, the report noted, exports came in lower “as high river levels and rumored contract defaults continue to impact vessel loadings on the Gulf Coast.” Platts Analytics lowered its full-year thermal coal export forecast to 44 million mt, a 10 million mt drop from 2018. In 2020, Platts analysts project another 8.6 million mt drop, “which is in line with our prior forecasts for a considerable slowdown in US thermal exports.”