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首页> 外文期刊>Geophysical Research Letters >Changes in Extreme Rainfall Over India and China Attributed to Regional Aerosol‐Cloud Interaction During the Late 20th Century Rapid Industrialization
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Changes in Extreme Rainfall Over India and China Attributed to Regional Aerosol‐Cloud Interaction During the Late 20th Century Rapid Industrialization

机译：印度和中国极端降雨的变化归因于20世纪末迅速产业化的区域气溶胶互动

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Abstract >Both mean and extreme rainfall decreased over India and Northern China during 1979–2005 at a rate of 0.2%/decade. The aerosol dampening effects on rainfall has also been suggested as a main driver of mean rainfall shift in India and China. Conflicting views, however, exist on whether aerosols enhance or suppress hazardous extreme heavy rainfall. Using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) multimodel ensemble, here we show that only a subset of models realistically reproduces the late‐20th‐century trend of extreme rainfall for the three major regions in Asia: drying in India and Northern China and wetting in Southern China, all consistent with mean rainfall change. As a common feature, this subset of models includes an explicit treatment of the complex physical processes of aerosol‐cloud interaction (i.e., both cloud‐albedo and cloud‐lifetime effects), while simulation performance deteriorates in models that include only aerosol direct effect or cloud‐albedo effect. The enhanced aerosol pollution during this rapid industrialization era is the leading cause of the spatially heterogeneous extreme rainfall change by dimming surface solar radiation, cooling adjacent ocean water, and weakening moisture transport into the continental region, while GHG warming or natural variability alone cannot explain the observed changes. Our results indicate that the projected intensification of regional extreme rainfall during the early‐to‐mid 21st‐century, in response to the anticipated aerosol reduction, may be underestimated in global climate models without detailed treatment of complex aerosol‐cloud interaction. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“Main”XML：Lang =“En”> <Title Type =“Main”> Abstract </ Title> >在1979 - 2005年度，印度和中国北方的平均值和极端降雨量0.2％/十年。对降雨的影响抑制效果也被认为是印度和中国的平均降雨转移的主要驱动因素。然而，存在相互矛盾的意见，是否存在气溶胶增强或抑制危险极度大雨。使用耦合型号互通项目第5阶段5（CMIP5）Multimodel Ensemble，这里我们表明，只有一个模型的子集现实地再现了亚洲三大地区的20世纪末端降雨趋势：印度和中国北部干燥和润湿在中国南方，均符合平均降雨变化。作为一个共同的特征，该模型的子集包括显式治疗气溶胶云交互的复杂物理过程（即，云-Albedo和云寿命效应），而仿真性能在仅包括气溶胶直接效果的模型中劣化云-Albedo效果。这种快速工业化时代的增强气溶胶污染是通过调光表面太阳辐射，冷却海水和水分运输疲软进入大陆区域的空间异质极端降雨变化的主要原因，而单独的温室气体变暖或自然可变性无法解释观察到的变化。我们的结果表明，在21世纪中期初期的区域极端降雨的预计加剧，以应对预期的气溶胶减少，在全球气候模型中可能低估了复杂气溶胶云相互作用的详细治疗。</ p > </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-23539/'>《Geophysical Research Letters》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第15期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共9页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Lin Lei&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Lin Lei;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Xu Yangyang&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Xu Yangyang;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wang Zhili&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Wang Zhili;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Diao Chenrui&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Diao Chenrui;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Dong Wenjie&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Dong Wenjie;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Xie Shang‐Ping&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Xie Shang‐Ping;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>School of Atmospheric Sciences and Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster StudiesSun Yat‐sen UniversityZhuhai China;</p> <p>Department of Atmospheric SciencesTexas A&</p> <p>M UniversityCollege Station TX USA;</p> <p>State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather and Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Chemistry of CMAChinese Academy of Meteorological SciencesBeijing China;</p> <p>Department of Atmospheric SciencesTexas A&</p> <p>M UniversityCollege Station TX USA;</p> <p>School of Atmospheric Sciences and Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster StudiesSun Yat‐sen UniversityZhuhai China;</p> <p>Scripps Institution of OceanographyUniversity of California San DiegoLa Jolla CA USA;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/163.html" title="地球物理学">地球物理学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Asia extreme rainfall&option=203" rel="nofollow">Asia extreme rainfall;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=aerosol‐cloud interaction&option=203" rel="nofollow">aerosol‐cloud interaction;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=aerosols&option=203" rel="nofollow">aerosols;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=CMIP5&option=203" rel="nofollow">CMIP5;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=precipitation extremes&option=203" rel="nofollow">precipitation extremes;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：亚洲极端降雨;气溶胶云相互作用;气溶胶;CMIP5;降水极端; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> </div> <div class="theme cardcommon" style="overflow: auto;display:none"> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent55">相关主题</h3> <ul id="subject"> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="right rightcon"> <div class="details_img cardcommon clearfix" style="margin-bottom: 10px;display:none;" > </div> </div> </div> <div id="thesis_get_original1" class="downloadBth" style="bottom: 19px;z-index: 999;" onclick="ywcd('0704019851229','4',7,2,1,'',this,24)" class="delivery" prompt="010401" title="通过人工服务将文献原文发送至邮箱" >获取原文</div> <div class="journalsub-pop-up" style="display: none"> <div 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