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The Need for Efficient Markets: the 2008 marker distortions leave the industry looking for needed reforms

机译:有效市场的需求:2008年的标记失真使该行业寻找需要的改革

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摘要

Demand for commodities from speculative investment vehicles was a double-edged sword. On one side, it created higher than average price levels as vast pools of money flooded into commodity markets ill-equipped to handle the increased order flow without a price reaction. On the other side, the money flow created a divergence between futures and the underlying cash values, resulting in cash flow problems for bona-fide hedgers as they could no longer rely on futures as a representative market-oriented hedge. As an unexpected outcome, producers were unable to capture much of the price increases seen during the commodity bubble due to the reluctance of hedgers to put on forward positions that required deferred hedges in these new questionable futures markets. In short, the market didn't work for the actual commodity players; it worked for the financial investors.
机译:投机性投资工具对商品的需求是一把双刃剑。一方面,它创造了高于平均水平的价格,这是因为大量资金涌入商品市场,而这些市场没有足够的能力来处理增加的订单流量而没有价格反应。另一方面,资金流在期货和相关现金价值之间产生了差异,导致善意的套期保值者出现现金流问题,因为他们不再依赖期货作为有代表性的市场导向套期保值。出乎意料的结果是,由于套期保值者不愿在这些有问题的新的期货市场中设置要求递延对冲的远期头寸,因此生产商无法捕捉到大宗商品泡沫期间的大部分价格上涨。简而言之,对于真正的商品参与者而言,市场行不通。它为金融投资者服务。

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