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Re-analysis of seasonal mass balance at Abramov glacier 1968-2014

机译:1968-2014年阿布拉莫夫冰川的季节性质量平衡再分析

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摘要

Abramov glacier, located in the Pamir Alay, Kyrgyzstan, is a reference glacier within the Global Terrestrial Network for Glaciers. Long-term glaciological measurements exist from 1968 to 1998 and a mass-balance monitoring programme was re-established in 2011. In this study we re-analyse existing mass-balance data and use a spatially distributed mass-balance model to provide continuous seasonal time series of glacier mass balance covering the period 1968-2014. The model is calibrated to seasonal mass-balance surveys and then applied to the period with no measurements. Validation and recalibration is carried out using snowline observations derived from satellite imagery and, after 2011, also from automatic terrestrial camera images. We combine direct measurements, remote observations and modelling. The results are compared to geodetic glacier volume change over the past decade and to a ground-penetrating radar survey in the accumulation zone resolving several layers of accumulation. Previously published geodetic mass budget estimates for Abramov glacier suggest a close-to-zero mass balance for the past decade, which contradicts our results. We find a low plausibility for equilibrium conditions over the past 15 years. Instead, we suggest that the glacier's sensitivity to increased summer air temperature is decisive for the substantial mass loss during the past decade.
机译:位于吉尔吉斯斯坦帕米尔米尔(Pamir Alay)的阿布拉莫夫(Abramov)冰川是全球冰川全球网络中的参考冰川。从1968年到1998年进行了长期的冰川测量,并于2011年重新建立了质量平衡监测程序。在本研究中,我们重新分析了现有的质量平衡数据,并使用空间分布的质量平衡模型来提供连续的季节性时间系列冰川物质平衡,涵盖1968-2014年。该模型已针对季节性质量平衡调查进行了校准,然后应用于没有任何测量的期间。验证和重新校准使用的是从卫星图像以及2011年之后衍生的自动地面相机图像得出的雪线观测数据。我们将直接测量,远程观测和建模结合在一起。将结果与过去十年中的大地冰川体积变化以及在解决了几层积聚的积聚区中的穿透地球的雷达测量结果进行了比较。先前发布的有关Abramov冰川的大地测量预算估计表明,过去十年中质量平衡接近于零,这与我们的结果相矛盾。在过去的15年中,我们发现均衡条件的可信度较低。相反,我们建议冰川对夏季气温升高的敏感性决定了过去十年来大量的质量损失。

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