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Classifying Time Series Data: A Nonparametric Approach

机译:对时间序列数据进行分类:一种非参数方法

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摘要

A general nonparametric approach to identify similarities in a set of simultaneously observed time series is proposed. The trends are estimated via local polynomial regression and classified according to standard clustering procedures. The equality of the trends is checked using several nonparametric test statistics whose asymptotic distributions are approximated by a bootstrap procedure. Once the estimated trends are removed from the model, the residual series are grouped by means of a nonparametric cluster method specifically designed for time series. Such a method is based on a disparity measure between local linear smoothers of the spectra of the series. The performance of the proposed methodology is illustrated by means of its application to a particular financial data example. The dependence of the observations is a crucial factor in this work and is taken into account throughout the study.
机译:提出了一种通用的非参数方法来识别一组同时观察到的时间序列中的相似性。通过局部多项式回归估计趋势,并根据标准聚类程序对趋势进行分类。使用几个非参数检验统计量检查趋势的均等性,这些统计量的渐近分布通过自举程序进行近似。一旦将估计趋势从模型中删除,残差序列将通过专门为时间序列设计的非参数聚类方法进行分组。这种方法基于该系列光谱的局部线性平滑器之间的视差度量。通过将其应用于特定财务数据示例来说明所提出方法的性能。观察的依赖性是这项工作的关键因素,并且在整个研究过程中都将其考虑在内。

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