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Time for a Reality Check

机译:进行现实检查的时间

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摘要

For those of you who closely follow OCC spot prices, there is a keen realization that price volatility is a fact of life for this commodity. As the accompanying charts indicate, using OBM OCC #11 Chicago high price as a benchmark (yellow line in Charts 1 and 2), price behavior since the mid-1990s has become increasingly cyclical. While the duration of each cycle low to high to low has varied over the years, mere appears to be some evidence that die amplitude of each cycle is increasing while the duration is becoming shorter. Generally speaking, this type of volatile movement is the rationale to justify hedging price.
机译:对于那些密切关注OCC现货价格的人来说,他们敏锐地意识到价格波动是这种商品不可或缺的事实。如附图所示,以OBM OCC#11芝加哥高价为基准(图1和2中的黄线),自1990年代中期以来的价格行为已变得越来越周期性。尽管从低到高到从低到高的每个周期的持续时间多年来都在变化,但似乎仅是一些证据,表明每个周期的振幅都在增加,而持续时间却越来越短。一般来说,这种波动是证明对冲价格合理的理由。

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