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Global Prospects and Policies

机译:全球前景和政策

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After a deep global recession, economic groxvth has turned positive, as 'wide-ranging public intervention has supported demand and lowered uncertainty and systemic risk in financial markets. Nonetheless, the recovery is expected, to he slow, as financial systems remain impaired, support from public policies will gradually have to be withdrawn, and households in economies that suffered asset price busts will continue to rebuild savings. Risks to the outlook remain on the downside. Premature exit from accommodative monetary and fiscal policies is a particular concern because the policy-induced rebound might be mistaken for the beginning of a strong recovery. The key requirement remains to restore financial sector health while maintaining supportive macroeconomic policies until the recovery is on a firm footing.
机译:在全球经济严重衰退之后,由于“广泛的公共干预支持了需求,并降低了金融市场的不确定性和系统性风险,经济增长已转为正数。尽管如此,由于金融体系仍然受损,预计复苏将放缓,因为公共政策的支持将逐渐被取消,遭受资产价格暴跌的经济体的家庭将继续重建储蓄。前景的风险仍然存在。宽松的货币和财政政策过早退出尤其令人担忧,因为政策引发的反弹可能被误认为是强劲复苏的开始。关键要求仍然是恢复金融部门的健康状况,同时保持支持性的宏观经济政策,直到经济复苏站稳脚跟为止。

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    《World Economic Outlook》 |2009年第10期|1-65|共65页
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