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Reconsideration of the P-Bar Model of Gradual Price Adjustment

机译:对逐步调整价格的P-Bar模型的反思

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This paper compares the P-bar model of price adjustment with the currently dominant Calvo specification. Theoretically, the P-bar model is more attractive as it depends upon adjustment costs for physical quantities rather than nominal prices, while incorporating a one-period information lag. Furthermore, the resulting adjustment relation is more completely free of "money illusion," in terms of dynamic relationships, and therefore satisfies the natural rate hypothesis of Lucas (1972), which is not satisfied by the Calvo model in any of its variants. Along the way, it shows that both the P-bar and Calvo models can be formulated in distinct versions in which current real wages are, or are not, allocativc. Quantitatively, for a given calibration of the demand parameters, the implied time series properties of the inflation rate, output gap, and nominal interest rate are determined for various policy parameters, and are compared with quarterly data for the U.S. economy. Neither model dominates but, overall, the comparison seems somewhat more favorable to the P-bar model and certainly does not provide support for the dominant position held by the Calvo model in current monetary policy analysis.
机译:本文将价格调整的P条模型与当前占主导地位的Calvo规范进行了比较。从理论上讲,P型条形模型更具吸引力,因为它依赖于实物量的调整成本而不是名义价格,同时还包含一个周期的信息滞后。此外,就动态关系而言,所得的调整关系更完全没有“金钱错觉”,因此可以满足卢卡斯(1972)的自然利率假说,而卡尔沃模型在其任何变体中都无法满足这一假设。一路走来,它表明P-bar模型和Calvo模型都可以用不同的版本来表述,在这些版本中,当前的实际工资是否分配。定量地,对于给定的需求参数校准,针对各种政策参数确定通货膨胀率,产出缺口和名义利率的隐含时间序列属性,并将其与美国经济的季度数据进行比较。这两个模型都不是主要的,但是总的来说,这种比较似乎对P条模型更为有利,并且当然不能为卡尔沃模型在当前货币政策分析中的主导地位提供支持。

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