Perceived FOMC: The Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers

摘要

Narrative records in US newspapers reveal that about 70 percent of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members who served during the last 55 years arc perceived to have had persistent policy preferences over time, as either inflation-fighting hawks or growth-promoting doves. The rest arc perceived as swingers, switching between types, or remained an unknown quantity to markets. What makes a member a hawk or a dove? What moulds those who change their tune? We highlight ideology by education and early life economic experiences of members of the FOMC from 1960s to 2015. This research is based on an original dataset.