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KEYNESIAN PRODUCTION NETWORKS AND THE COVID-19 CRISIS: A SIMPLE BENCHMARK

机译:凯恩斯人的生产网络和Covid-19危机:一个简单的基准

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摘要

The Covid-19 crisis is an unusual and seemingly all-encompassing economic shock. On the one hand, it was unquestionably a negative demand shock that, for fixed prices and incomes, reduced household spending. On the other hand, it was also unquestionably a negative supply shock that reduced firms' ability to maintain production at pre-pandemic prices and quantities. These negative shocks affected different industries differently: whereas some producers easily switched to remote-work and maintained both employment and production, industries that required face-to-face contact were forced to reduce production capacity and employment. We consider a stripped-down version of the model presented in Baqaee and Farhi (2020). Despite its simplicity, the model nevertheless allows for an arbitrary input-output network, complementarities in both consumption and production, incomplete markets, downward nominal wage rigidity, and a zero-lower bound. In this sense, it contains many of the ingredients typically considered to be important for understanding the economic fallout from Covid-19. Nevertheless, despite allowing for these realistic ingredients, this model has a stark property: factor income shares at the initial equilibrium are global sufficient statistics for the input-output network. This article clarifies clarifies what ingredients must be added to a model if the production network is to play an important role in the propagation of shocks.
机译:Covid-19危机是一种不寻常的,看似的全部经济休克。一方面,对于固定价格和收入,减少家庭支出,这是毫无疑问的负面需求冲击。另一方面,它也毫无疑问地是一种负面的供应震撼,减少了公司以预大流行价格和数量保持生产的能力。这些负面冲击影响了不同的行业:虽然一些生产商很容易转向遥控工作,并维持就业和生产,所需的行业被迫降低生产能力和就业。我们考虑在Baqaee和Farhi(2020)中呈现的模型的剥离版本。尽管其简单性,但该模型仍允许任意输入 - 输出网络,消费和生产的互补性,不完整的市场,下行标称工资刚度和零下限。从这个意义上讲,它包含许多通常认为对于从Covid-19的经济衰退来说很重要的成分。尽管如此,尽管允许这些现实的成分,但这种型号具有斯塔克属性:初始均衡的因素收入份额是输入输出网络的全球充分统计数据。本文澄清澄清如果生产网络在震动传播中发挥重要作用,则澄清必须将成分添加到模型中。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Working Paper Series》 |2021年第28346期|a1-a21-9|共11页
  • 作者

    David Baqaee; Emmanuel Farhi;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Economics University of California at Los Angeles Bunche Hall Los Angeles CA 90095 and CEPR and also NBER;

    Harvard University;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
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