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INFORMAL CENTRAL BANK COMMUNICATION

机译:非正式的央行通信

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摘要

Starting from a set of facts on the timing of stock returns relative to Federal Reserve decision-making, I argue that informal communication - including unattributed communication - plays a central role in monetary policy communication. This contrasts with the standard communications framework in which communication should be public and on-the-record because it serves to ensure accountability and policy effectiveness. I lay out possible benefits of using unattributed communication as an institution, but these should be weighed against substantial costs: It runs counter to accountability to use unattributed communication, causes frustration among those trying to understand central bank intensions, and enables use of such communication by individual policymakers. Unattributed communication driven by policymaker disagreements is unambiguously welfare reducing, because it reduces policy flexibility and harms the central bank's credibility and decision-making process. Central banks may benefit from resisting unattributed communication via expensive newsletters and increasing consensus-building efforts to reduce disagreement-driven unattributed communication.
机译:从一系列事实开始于股票回报的时间相对于美联储决策,我认为非正式的沟通 - 包括未分配的沟通 - 在货币政策沟通中发挥着核心作用。这与标准通信框架形成鲜明对比,其中通信应该是公开和记录,因为它有助于确保问责制和政策效率。我阐述了使用未分配的沟通作为机构的可能好处,但这些应该根据大量成本权衡:它符合要求使用未分配的沟通的问责制,导致那些试图理解中央银行加入的人们挫败,并实现这些沟通个人政策制定者。政策制定者分歧推动的未分配通信是明确的福利减少,因为它降低了政策灵活性并损害了央行的可信度和决策过程。中央银行可能会受益于通过昂贵的通讯抵制未分配的沟通,并提高共识 - 建设努力减少分歧的未分配沟通。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Working Paper Series》 |2020年第28276期|a1-a21-12|共14页
  • 作者

    Annette Vissing-Jorgensen;

  • 作者单位

    Haas School of Business University of California Berkeley 545 Student Services Building #1900 Berkeley CA 94720 and NBER;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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