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Optimal Crop Water Allocation Based on Constraint-State Method and Nonnormal Stochastic Variable

机译:基于约束状态法和非正态随机变量的最优作物水分分配

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摘要

Integrated and holistic approach of water resources management is important for sustainability. Since the optimum use of water resources needs taking into account different environmental issues. Accordingly, the use of supportive models in decision making as an effective tool is significantly important. To addressing uncertainty in crop water allocation, several methodologies have been proposed. The most of these models consider rainfall as a stochastic variable affecting soil moisture. Applying a new methodology/model while considering the stochastic variable in nonnormal state and uncertainties for both irrigation depth and soil moisture looks more realistic. In this research, a mathematical model was developed based on Constraint-State equation optimization model and Beta function. The first and the second moments of soil moisture are used as constraints in optimization process. This model uses the soil moisture budget equation for a specific plant (winter wheat) on a weekly basis, considering the root depth, soil moisture, irrigation depth, rainfalls, evapotranspiration, leaching depth, soil physical properties and a stochastic variable. The model was written in MATLAB and was run for winter wheat in Badjgah, south of Iran. The results were compared with the results obtained from a simulation model. Based on the results, the optimum net irrigation depth of winter wheat including the rainfall was 306.2mm. The insignificant difference of simulation and optimization results showed that, the optimization model works properly and is acceptable for optimization of irrigation depth, as its reliability index is 96.86%.
机译:水资源综合管理的整体方法对于可持续性很重要。由于水资源的最佳利用需要考虑到不同的环境问题。因此,在决策过程中使用支持模型作为有效工具非常重要。为了解决作物水分配中的不确定性,已经提出了几种方法。这些模型中的大多数将降雨视为影响土壤湿度的随机变量。在考虑非正常状态下的随机变量以及灌溉深度和土壤湿度的不确定性的同时,应用一种新的方法/模型看起来更为现实。在这项研究中,建立了基于约束状态方程优化模型和Beta函数的数学模型。在优化过程中,土壤水分的第一和第二时刻被用作约束。该模型每周使用特定植物(冬小麦)的土壤水分收支方程,其中考虑了根深,土壤水分,灌溉深度,降雨量,蒸散量,淋滤深度,土壤物理性质和随机变量。该模型是用MATLAB编写的,并在伊朗南部的Badjgah用于冬小麦。将结果与从仿真模型获得的结果进行比较。根据结果​​,包括降雨在内的冬小麦的最佳净灌溉深度为306.2mm。模拟和优化结果的不显着差异表明,该优化模型工作可靠,其可靠性指标为96.86%,对于灌溉深度的优化是可以接受的。

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