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Early Warning System for the Lower Mekong River

机译:湄公河下游预警系统

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摘要

The Mekong River, one of the largest rivers in the world, is among the few rivers that exist in a nearly natural state, without interference from human influences. The floods of the river are among the major sources of well being for the population, and the annual recurrence of the Monsoon floods is a benefit for the country. However, in some years the benefits are reversed: the floods of the river overflow the banks and inundate vast portions of the land for many weeks. Consequently, it is necessary to adjust human activities to the rhythm of the river. The best people can do is to try to anticipate the flood and to be prepared to live with the floods, both when the floods are beneficial and when they are detrimental. This requires forecasting the flood levels sufficiently ahead of time. However, a mere forecast is not sufficient; an efficient flood management system requires augmenting the forecasting activity with actions. The sum of the preparations for a forecast to make it most beneficial to the people is embodied in an efficient early warning system. A novel approach for obtaining such a system consists of direct interactions of international scientists and regional experts - as has been practiced in an experimental international expert meeting for the Mekong River.
机译:湄公河是世界上最大的河流之一,是几近处于自然状态而不受人类影响的河流。河流的洪水是人们福祉的主要来源,而季风洪水的每年复发对国家是有益的。但是,在某些年中,收益却发生了逆转:河水泛滥,河岸泛滥,淹没了大片土地长达数周之久。因此,有必要根据河流的节奏调整人类活动。最好的人们可以尝试在洪水有益和有害的时候,预见洪水,并准备好与洪水共存。这就需要提前充分预测洪水位。但是,仅靠预测是不够的。一个有效的洪水管理系统需要通过采取行动来扩大预报活动。有效的预警系统体现了为使人们最受益的预测所做的准备工作的总和。获取此类系统的一种新颖方法是由国际科学家和区域专家直接互动组成,这在湄公河实验性国际专家会议上已经实践过。

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