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Human Health Impact of Exposure to Airborne Particulate Matter in Pearl River Delta, China

机译:暴露在珠江三角洲的空气中颗粒物对人体健康的影响

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摘要

To evaluate the potential public health impact of exposure to airborne particulate matter, concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5 were measured at 16 monitoring stations in Pearl River Delta. Epidemiological studies were collected, and meta-analysis method was used to get the exposure-response functions for health effects on mortality of residents in China. Chinese studies reported somewhat lower exposure-response coefficients as compared with studies abroad. Both Poisson model and life-table approach were used to estimate the health effects including acute effects and chronic effects. For short-term exposure, 2,700 (95% confidence interval (CI), 2,200–3,400) premature deaths would be prevented annually if PM10 daily concentrations reduced to below World Health Organization (WHO) guideline value. Much more benefits would be gained for long-term exposure. The annual avoidable deaths would be 42,000 (95% CI, 28,000–55,000) and 40,000 (95% CI, 23,000–54,000) for PM10 and PM2.5, respectively, if the particulate matter annual concentrations were reduced to below WHO guideline values. And the average lifespan of residents would prolong 2.57 years for PM10 and 2.38 years for PM2.5 if reducing the PM annual concentrations. The benefits varied greatly in different areas and different manage strategies should be carried out to protect human health effectively.
机译:为了评估暴露于空气中的颗粒物对公共健康的潜在影响,在珠江三角洲的16个监测站对PM 10 和PM 2.5 的浓度进行了测量。收集了流行病学研究资料,并采用荟萃分析法获得了健康效应对中国居民死亡率的暴露-响应函数。与国外的研究相比,中国的研究报告了较低的暴露响应系数。泊松模型和生命表方法均用于估计对健康的影响,包括急性影响和慢性影响。如果将PM 10 的每日浓度降低到世界卫生组织(WHO)指导值以下,则对于短期暴露,每年可预防2,700(95%置信区间(CI),2,200-3,400)的过早死亡。长期接触将获得更多好处。 PM 10 和PM 2.5 每年可避免的死亡分别为42,000(95%CI,28,000-55,000)和40,000(95%CI,23,000-54,000),是否将颗粒物年浓度降低到低于WHO准则值。如果降低PM年浓度,居民的平均寿命将延长PM 10 的2.57年和PM 2.5 的2.38年。不同地区带来的利益差异很大,应采取不同的管理策略来有效保护人类健康。

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