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Consistency and fungibility of monetary valuations in transport: An empirical analysis of framing and mental accounting effects

机译:运输中货币估值的一致性和可替代性:对框架和心理会计影响的实证分析

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摘要

Governments around the world use monetised values of transport externalities to undertake project appraisal and cost-benefit analysis. However, because different types of benefits are monetised (e.g., travel time savings, preventing statistical fatalities, reliability, etc.) the question naturally arises as to whether they are consistent. That is, whether a "dollar is a dollar" as welfare economics requires, or whether spending money in one area carries a different disutility from spending money in another area. This would equate to a violation of fungibility, which is the property of a good or a commodity whose individual units are capable of mutual substitution. The view that money is not fungible is explained in behavioural economics through theories of framing and mental accounting. This paper describes the results of a stated choice experiment designed to test the fungibility and consistency of monetary valuations in transport. From a nationally representative sample, we elicit direct values for the three pairwise trade-offs between travel time, travel cost, and safety. We then show that in the context of our analysis, any trade-offs inferred on the basis of other trade-offs, as is common practice (e.g. inferring a safety vs time trade-off on the basis of monetary valuations for time and safety), produces biased results, suggesting that the assumption of fungibility does not hold. Specifically, we find that time is valued more highly when valued directly by cost than when traded with safety, and the reverse is true for safety.
机译:世界各地的政府都使用运输外部性的货币化价值进行项目评估和成本效益分析。但是,由于将不同类型的收益货币化(例如,节省旅行时间,防止统计上的死亡,可靠性等),因此自然会产生关于它们是否一致的问题。就是说,是福利经济学所要求的“美元是美元”,还是在一个地区花钱与在另一个地区花钱有不同的无用性。这将等同于对可替代性的侵犯,该可替代性是指商品或商品的属性,其单个单位能够相互替代。行为经济学通过框架理论和心理会计理论解释了金钱不可替代的观点。本文介绍了指定选择实验的结果,该实验旨在测试运输中货币估值的可替代性和一致性。从全国代表性的样本中,我们得出旅行时间,旅行成本和安全性之间的三个成对取舍的直接值。然后,我们表明,在我们的分析中,按照惯例,在其他折衷基础上进行的任何折衷都可以推断出来(例如,根据时间和安全性的货币估值来推断安全与时间的折衷)会产生有偏差的结果,表明可替代性的假设不成立。具体而言,我们发现,直接由成本估价的时间比与安全性交易相比,时间的价值更高,而安全性则相反。

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