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Risk management of climate impact for tourism operators: An empirical analysis on ski resorts

机译:风险管理旅游运营商气候影响:滑雪胜地的实证分析

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摘要

The aim of this paper is to analyze the performance of hedging strategies based on snow and temperature options developed by ski operators to protect their profitability under adverse changes in climatic conditions. The setup is based on a joint non-parametric model for snow and temperature aimed at providing a modelling support for the assessment of the impact of these weather variables on the number of visitors at the ski resort. The analysis is carried out considering the case of Austrian Alps, and examines: i) the ability of the proposed approach to provide a realistic representation of the true data-generating process; ii) the variability reduction in the Profit and Loss of the ski operator offered by the suggested strategies; and iii) the tradeoff between the budget earmarked for hedging and profitability protection.
机译:本文的目的是分析基于滑雪运营商开发的雪和温度选项的对冲策略的性能,以保护其在气候条件的不利变化下的盈利能力。该设置基于用于雪和温度的联合非参数模型,旨在为评估这些天气变量对滑雪胜地的游客人数进行评估的建模支持。考虑奥地利阿尔卑斯山的案件进行分析,并审查:i)建议方法提供真正的数据产生过程的现实表现的能力; ii)建议战略提供的滑雪营商的利润和损失的可变性降低; III)预算与押金和盈利能力保护的预算之间的权衡。

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