A spatiotemporal analysis of extreme agrometeorological events during selected growth stages of maize (Zea mays L.) from 1960 to 2017 in Northeast China

摘要

Against the background of global warming, extreme agrometeorological events have become more intense and frequent during the growing season of maize (Zea mays L.). In this study, we focused on the five types of extreme agrometeorological events that greatly affect maize production in Northeast China, including chilling injury, drought, rainstorm, frost, and gale. We averaged the actual timing of phenological events from the study agrometeorological stations and divided the maize growing season into four growth stages: emergence-jointing, jointing-flowering, flowering-kernel milk, and kernel milk-physiological maturity. Based on the historical weather data from 1960 to 2017 in the study region, we derived the values of pertinent indices for the five types of study extreme agrometeorological events during the four selected maize growth stages. The results showed that chilling injury and drought were relatively more frequent during the four growth stages of maize from 1960 to 2017 in the Northeast China. As time goes on during the growing season of maize, the spatial coverage of chilling injury, frost, and gale all showed a decreasing trend. By contrast, the spatial coverage of drought showed an increasing trend during the study growth stages of maize. During growth stages of maize, chilling injury was the main extreme agrometeorological event before the 2000s, while drought became the main extreme agrometeorological event after the 2000s. Identifying the main extreme climate events that could cause yield loss is imperative, and it is important for farmers to acknowledge ongoing changes in these extreme climate events in order to take preventive measures if necessary.