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Financial development, ICT diffusion and economic growth: Lessons from MENA region

机译:金融发展,ICT传播和经济增长:中东和北非地区的经验教训

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This paper aims to test jointly two economic puzzles: the effect of financial development and Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on economic growth. Theories predict a positive effect of financial development and ICT on growth but empirical studies on these relationships produced mixed results. Further, we investigate the interaction between financial development and ICT Diffusion to test whether the impact of financial development on growth is strengthened by better ICT infrastructure. In this paper we assess empirically these relationships in some MENA countries. The empirical study is based on estimation of a dynamic panel model with system GMM estimators. There are three main findings. First, our empirical results join empirical literature that find a negative direct effect of financial development on economic growth. This ambiguous relationship may be linked to many phenomenons but there are not yet clear explanations of this puzzle. Second, the estimates reveal a positive and significant direct effect of ICT proxies on economic growth. This implies that MENA countries need to reinforce their ICT policies and improve using of new Information and Communication Technology. Finally, the interaction between ICT penetration and financial development is found positive and significant in the growth regression. This implies that economies in Mena region can benefit from financial development only once a threshold of ICT development is reached.
机译:本文旨在共同测试两个经济难题:金融发展和信息通信技术(ICT)对经济增长的影响。理论预言了金融发展和信息通信技术对增长的积极影响,但是对这些关系的实证研究却得出了不同的结果。此外,我们调查了金融发展与ICT扩散之间的相互作用,以检验更好的ICT基础设施是否能增强金融发展对增长的影响。在本文中,我们通过经验评估了一些中东和北非国家的这些关系。实证研究基于使用系统GMM估计器的动态面板模型的估计。有三个主要发现。首先,我们的实证结果与实证文献相结合,发现金融发展对经济增长具有负面直接影响。这种模棱两可的关系可能与许多现象有关,但是对此难题尚无明确的解释。其次,估算结果表明,ICT代理对经济增长具有积极而显着的直接影响。这意味着中东和北非国家需要加强其ICT政策,并改善对新信息和通信技术的使用。最后,在增长回归中,ICT渗透与金融发展之间的相互作用被发现是积极而重要的。这意味着,只要达到ICT发展的门槛,梅纳地区的经济就可以从金融发展中受益。

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