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ten technologies that refuse to die

机译:十项拒绝死亡的技术

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In technology, as in biology, we like to imagine evolution proceeding onward and upward. As new species and technologies appear, their primitive ancestors drop by the wayside, right? Not exactly. Mammals, birds, and flowering plants- all relatively recent innovations-might seem to rule the earth today. But far older designs, from barnacles to crocodiles, are doing , just fine in their respective niches, thank you. New species don't always evolve to replace old ones; they also fill vacant niches, which in turn can actually solidify the standing of older species. So it is with technology. Paper and bytes are the classic example. In the early 1980s, at the dawn of the PC age, high-volume electronic storage and transmission-360-kilobyte floppy disks! 14-kilobit-per-second modems!-were supposed to make paper superfluous and forests safe. Hah. Electronic data just begat more paper copies. Writers who used to carefully mark corrections on pecked-out manuscripts began printing out one revised version after another. Web surfers started printing out whatever looked interesting. Having data on-screen didn't stop people from wanting to read it, share it, and store it on paper. Like paper, the 10 technologies that follow have seemingly been surpassed and superseded at one time or other, written off as road kill on the highway of progress. But reports of their demise have proved greatly exaggerated. All have survived, and some have thrived, in their supposed obsolescence-not as cult artifacts (everything from buggy whips to eight-tracks has its fans and collectors), but because they fill real needs that their more sophisticated successors don't. Consider these venerable survivors in the pages ahead.
机译:在技​​术上,就像在生物学上一样,我们想像着进化是向前向上发展的。随着新物种和新技术的出现,他们的原始祖先掉队了,对吗?不完全是。哺乳动物,鸟类和开花植物-都是相对较新的创新-似乎统治着当今的地球。但是远古时代的设计,从藤壶到鳄鱼,都在各自的利基市场上表现不错,谢谢。新物种并非总能取代旧物种。它们还填补了空缺的壁ni,这实际上可以巩固较老物种的地位。技术也是如此。纸和字节是经典的例子。在1980年代初期,在PC时代的曙光中,出现了大容量的电子存储和传输360千字节的软盘!每秒14千比特的调制解调器!应该使纸张变得多余,森林也变得安全。哈哈电子数据只会催生更多的纸质副本。曾经仔细地标记出改编的手稿的作者开始打印出一个修订版本。网络冲浪者开始打印任何看起来有趣的东西。将数据显示在屏幕上并没有阻止人们想要读取,共享和存储在纸上。就像纸一样,随后的十种技术似乎一次或一次被超越,并被取代,在进步的高速公路上被当作路途杀手。但是事实证明,这些人死亡的报道被大大夸大了。所有人都以他们认为过时的方式幸存了下来,有的还蓬勃发展,而不是像邪教般的文物(从马鞭到八轨的一切都有其粉丝和收藏家),而是因为它们满足了他们更复杂的继任者所没有的真实需求。在后面的页面中考虑这些古老的幸存者。

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