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The dynamic relationships among CO_2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: Evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model

机译:印度CO_2排放量,可再生和不可再生能源与经济增长之间的动态关系:贝叶斯VAR模型随时间变化的证据

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We apply a three-variable VAR model with probabilistic variability using a time-varying parametric approach to determine the dynamic interactions among GDP growth, energy use by renewable energy sources (RES, wind, solar, or hydro) and non-renewable energy sources (NRES, hydroelectric or coal) and CO2 emission. Further, we characterize and quantify the impact of the nexus on the CO2 emissions, energy sources (RES and NRES) vis-a-vis India's economic growth and fluctuations during 1965Q1-2015Q4. We contribute to the literature by finding that stochastic volatility for RES and NRES appear to be U-shaped besides using TVP-VAR model to the Indian context. This U-shaped pattern seems to be related to economic growth. We also observe the time-varying patterns of the impact transmission mechanisms among energy sources, CO2 emissions, and GDP. In addition, the impulse response of GDP from a positive shock to CO2 varies with the type of energy use in different time horizons. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:我们使用时变参数方法应用具有概率变异性的三变量VAR模型,以确定GDP增长,可再生能源(RES,风能,太阳能或水能)和不可再生能源( NRES,水力发电或煤炭)和CO2排放量。此外,相对于1965年1季度至2015年4季度印度的经济增长和波动,我们表征和量化了联系对二氧化碳排放,能源(RES和NRES)的影响。我们发现,除了在印度背景下使用TVP-VAR模型外,RES和NRES的随机波动性似乎呈U形,从而为文献做出了贡献。这种U形模式似乎与经济增长有关。我们还观察到了能源,CO2排放量和GDP之间影响传递机制的时变模式。此外,从积极的冲击到二氧化碳对GDP的冲激响应随时间跨度的能源使用类型而变化。 (C)2019 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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