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LABOUR MARKET DYNAMICS IN SOUTH AFRICA AT THE ONSET OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

机译:Covid-19流行病的南非劳动力市场动态

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This paper conducts an analysis of labour market dynamics in South Africa during the initial period of lockdown, from the end of March to the end of April 2020, using the first wave of the NIDS-CRAM (2020) survey. Within our sample of over 6,000 adults aged 18 to 59, we found that there was a very large decrease in employment. The fraction of the sample that was conventionally classified as employed decreased from 57% in February to 48% in April. If we further exclude temporarily absent workers, which we term "furloughed" employees, this fraction decreases further to 38%. Thus, about one out of every three employed people in our sample either lost their job or did not work and received no wages during April. This has extremely large implications for poverty and welfare. We further analyse the labour market by comparing across demographic groups as defined by race, by gender, by age groups, by geographic areas and by education levels. The over-arching finding from this analysis is that the job losses were not uniformly distributed amongst the different groups. In particular, groups who have always been more vulnerable - such as women, African/Blacks, youth and less educated groups - have been disproportionately negatively affected.
机译:本文在锁定初期延期延期劳动力市场动态分析,从3月底到4月2020年4月底,使用NIDS-CRAM(2020)调查的第一波。在我们超过18至59岁的6000多名成年人的样本中,我们发现就业减少了很大。通常归类为所雇用的样本的分数从2月份的57%降低至4月48%。如果我们进一步排除暂时缺席的工人,我们术语员工“逃亡”员工,这种分数将进一步降至38%。因此,我们在我们样本中每三个雇用的人中大约一人丧失了他们的工作或者在四月期间没有工作并没有收到任何工资。这对贫困和福利来说具有极大的影响。我们进一步通过比较由比赛,按年龄组,地理区域和教育水平进行比较来分析劳动力市场。从该分析中的过度拱起发现是,在不同的群体中,作业损失并不均匀分布。特别是,一直更脆弱的群体 - 如女性,非洲/黑人,青年和较少的教育团体 - 已经对受影响的影响。

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