Generating synthetic sequences of global horizontal irradiation

摘要

When designing renewable energy systems it is common practice to use a short period of historical weather data or Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) data to evaluate the performance of a renewable energy system for a particular location. However, short periods of historical data or TMY data do not capture enough of the variation required to design a reliable renewable energy system. Longer data sequences are necessary to include a greater variety of sequences; synthetic sequences are useful because they can include sequences that have not occurred in the recorded data but are nonetheless as likely to occur as the observed data.