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Dynamic features and driving forces of indirect C02 emissions from Chinese household: A comparative and mitigation strategies analysis

机译:中国家庭间接CO2排放的动态特征和驱动力:比较和缓解策略分析

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摘要

Controlling CO_2 emissions (CEs) is an important measure to mitigate global climate change. In recent years, the research on household consumption and its environmental impact has become a research hot-spot in the field of sustainable development. Taking 2000-2014 as the research period, this paper studies the indirect CO_2 emissions of household consumption (ICEs-HC) in China by using the Multi-region Input-Output model. Then the structural decomposition analysis method is used to analyze the driving factors of ICEs-HC. The results show that: (1) During the study period, ICEs-HC in China showed an increasing trend. The total ICEs-HC increased by 1.90 times, and the per capita ICEs-HC increased by 1.76 times. (2) ICEs-HC in China are concentrated mainly in Commercial and Public Services (CPS), Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning Supply (EGSA), and Manufacture of Food and Tobacco (MFT), which accounted for 26.63%, 17.69% and 13.52%, respectively, of the total emissions in 2014. (3) China has been in the position of net outflow of ICEs-HC. (4) The growth of per capita household consumption is the main factor promoting the growth of ICEs-HC in China, and the reduction of carbon intensity in various countries is the main factor in restraining ICEs-HC in China. This study shows that ICEs-HC in China are likely to rise, and the government should not only constantly improve the level of household consumption, but also actively adjust the industrial structure and optimize the consumption structure to alleviate CEs effectively.
机译:控制CO_2排放(CEs)是缓解全球气候变化的重要措施。近年来,关于家庭消费及其环境影响的研究已成为可持续发展领域的研究热点。本文以2000-2014年为研究期,运用多区域投入产出模型研究了中国家庭消费的间接CO_2排放量(ICEs-HC)。然后采用结构分解分析方法对ICEs-HC的驱动因素进行分析。结果表明:(1)在研究期间,中国的ICEs-HC呈上升趋势。 ICEs-HC总量增长了1.90倍,人均ICEs-HC增长了1.76倍。 (2)中国的ICEs-HC主要集中在商业和公共服务(CPS),电力,天然气,蒸汽和空调供应(EGSA)以及食品和烟草制造(MFT),分别占26.63%,17.69分别占2014年总排放量的%和13.52%。(3)中国一直是ICEs-HC的净流出国。 (4)人均家庭消费的增长是推动中国ICEs-HC增长的主要因素,而各国碳强度的降低是制约ICEs-HC的主要因素。这项研究表明,中国的ICEs-HC可能会上升,政府不仅应不断提高家庭消费水平,而且还应积极调整产业结构并优化消费结构,以有效缓解CE。

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