In all probability

摘要

Catastrophic incidents happen to safety conscious people for the same reason that some children will be pulled alive from the wreckage of a collapsed building. It is the law of probability. On any given day, in any given situation, some people will be lucky and some will not. However, while we can't ensure good luck, we can significantly impact on how much luck we need. This requires a . consideration of the nature of risk, risk literacy and a defence of the underlying principle of Heinrich's triangle. Heinrich's triangle has received some criticism recently but the basic principle that underpins it remains sound. Gary Player famously quipped: "Isn't it funny how the harder I practise the luckier I seem to get?" which is the main point of every inspirational 'maximise your potential' speaker you'll ever hear.