Scientific Basis of Agrometeorological and Agroclimatic Support to the Agrarian Sector of the Russian Economy

摘要

Results are reviewed of the studies aimed at the development of current techniques for estimation of bioclimatic potential of Russia to provide agrometeorological support to the agrarian sector of economy under the present-day conditions. Problems are considered of estimating and accounting the effects of the climate changes on productivity and long-term stability of agriculture. Results are presented of using the satellite information for operative monitoring of condition and productivity of agriculture. It is shown that the studies carried out at All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Meteorology (VNIISKhM) allow creating a complex system for operative agrometeorological monitoring on the basis of the modern models of the agro-ecosystem productivity. The system will allow regular estimating of conditions, expected harvest and total yield in the times specified by Roshydromet and presenting a set of their probability estimates as dependent on the predicted weather. As a result, all levels of the agriculture, from the farmers to the Ministry of Agriculture, will be provided with agrometeorological and agroclimatic information.