ON STRESS STATE EVOLUTION IN THE VRANCEA (ROMANIA) SEISMIC REGION

摘要

About a decade ago, we estimated (D. Enescu and B. D. Enescu) that the next strong earthquake in Vrancea region was not going to happen until the end of 2005. The time has come for us to be more specific and say when after 2005 it can be expected to occur. Our researches originally led to two hypotheses. In this paper we form by means of Benioff graphs a first hypothesis with respect to the maxim possible magnitude that Vrancea earthquakes can attain during the periods 2006-2010 and 2011-2015.